As 2025 draws to a close, Donald Trump’s supportive approach towards digital currency has failed to be enough to sustain the sector's advances, previously the driver behind broad hope and excitement. The last few months of 2025 have seen roughly $1 trillion in market capitalization wiped from the digital asset market, despite bitcoin reaching an all-time-high price of $126,000 on October 6th.
The October price peak proved temporary. Bitcoin’s price plummeted just days later after a declaration of 100% tariffs against Chinese goods sent shockwaves across the market in mid-October. The crypto market saw an unprecedented $19 billion wiped out within a day – the largest liquidation event on record. The second-largest crypto, Ethereum, saw a 40% drop in value over the next month.
Crypto advocates got the pro-bitcoin president they were promised during the campaign. Within days of taking office, an executive order was signed rolling back limitations against digital assets and introduced business-friendly rules alongside a federal task force on digital assets.
“The digital asset industry is a vital component in innovation and economic growth nationally, as well as America's global standing,” the order read.
Again in spring, a new strategic digital asset reserve sparked a significant market surge, with prices of select named coins soaring by over 60%. The leading cryptocurrency rose 10% in the hours following the was announced.
Cryptocurrency is sensitive to market sentiment and confidence worldwide, said a leading analyst. It’s what is called a speculative investment, an investment which performs well during periods of optimism regarding economic conditions and are ready to take on more risk.
“The current government might support crypto, but tariffs and tight monetary policy outweigh favorable rhetoric,” they continued. “And it’s also just a reminder, particularly to those in the sector, that macro forces really matter more than political support.”
Later in the year, bitcoin underwent its biggest drop in price since 2021, pushing its price below $81,000. While it recovered a portion of the losses afterward, the start of the final month with another slump, a 6% drop following a leading bitcoin holder slashing its profit outlook due to the slide in digital asset values. Its value now hovers near $90,000.
Market observers fear the sector may be heading into what's termed crypto winter, an era of low activity and declining prices. The previous such downturn persisted from late 2021 through 2023. That period witnessed Bitcoin fall approximately 70% in price.
“The recent crash isn’t a change in sentiment, but rather a confluence of three structural factors: the aftershocks of a $19bn leverage washout; a risk-off rotation spurred by geopolitical trade disputes; and, importantly, the potential unraveling of corporate crypto holdings,” explained a lab founder.
An additional element impacting digital assets is the downturn in values of artificial intelligence companies. “One of the reasons why bitcoin is tied to the AI cycle is because a lot of bitcoin miners have diversified their energy into AI data centers,” it was explained. “Pessimism in tech tends to sneak into crypto.”
Amid the worries over a crypto winter, notable players within the industry have expressed optimism about the long-term value of Bitcoin. A top CEO said “there was no chance” the price of bitcoin would go to zero and in fact 2025 will be remembered as the year “where digital assets transitioned from a fringe market to a well-lit establishment”. A separate pointed out increased investment from sovereign wealth funds.
Some believe the current decline is not inconsistent with past four-year bitcoin cycles , adding that a much more sustained crypto winter may not be imminent.
“If I was looking of a traditional bitcoin cycle, we are actually technically in a bear market,” came the assessment. “But as you can see, despite these major headwinds that are affecting markets, bitcoin has still managed to maintain a level above $80,000.”
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